Abstract #416

# 416
Managed grassland resiliency to climate change: Shifting species composition buffers climate change effects on plant production and forage quality.
Rebecca L. McCulley*1, A. Elizabeth Carlisle1, Allison L. Cooke2, Matthew M. Conley3, Bruce A. Kimball3, Jim A. Nelson1, 1University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, 2Metabolic Disease Institute, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH, 3US Arid-Land Agricultural Research Center, USDA-ARS, Maricopa, AZ.

Managed grasslands cover significant acreage in the eastern half of the United States, and are dominated by non-native grass species that may or may not respond to climate change similarly to native species. It is important to understand how plant species composition, plant production, and forage quality will respond to predicted warming and alterations in precipitation because managed grasslands can improve environmental quality and provide the forage base for animal production in the region. We hypothesized that warming would cause species shifts (increased relative abundance of C4 vs. C3 species) and would reduce plant production and forage quality, but increases in precipitation would ameliorate these effects. We tested this hypothesis using a field-based, climate manipulation, located in central Kentucky. In a mixed species pasture, we established 5 replicate plots of 4 climate treatments: an ambient control, increased temperature, increased precipitation, and the combination of increased temperature and precipitation. Treatments were applied for 5 consecutive years (2009–2013), and species composition, plant biomass, and forage quality were measured seasonally in all years. Warming significantly increased the relative abundance of C4 grasses, especially in summer and fall. However, in the spring, C3 grasses remained the dominant plant functional type in all plots. Climate treatment effects on production varied by year, but when harvested biomass was summed across the 5-year experiment, no significant effect was observed. Effects of climate treatments on forage quality metrics (% crude protein and lignin) also varied by year and season, but were less dramatic than effects on plant production and species composition. Increased temperature and precipitation did not substantially alter plant production or forage quality, but did promote C4 vs. C3 grass dominance, illustrating the potential of species compositional changes to buffer ecosystem response to climate change. This result suggests that although dominant plants will differ, managed grasslands of the eastern United States will continue, from an animal forage production perspective, to function similarly to today.

Key Words: pasture, climate change, forage production

Speaker Bio
Rebecca McCulley is an Associate Professor in the Dept. of Plant & Soil Sciences at the University of Kentucky. She is also the interim Director of the Tracy Farmer Institute for Sustainability & the Environment on UK's campus.  She is trained as a grassland ecosystem ecologist.